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Potential Bitcoin Rally Signaled by CME Gaps As Cryptocurrency Stages Recovery

Decoding the CME Gaps: A Potential Catalyst for Bitcoin's Imminent Market Resurgence

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
March 1, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s recent price drop may be short-lived, with key metrics suggesting a potential reversal.
  • Increasing address balances among holders and bullish sentiment in the derivatives market signal a rise in buying activity.

Bitcoin’s [BTC] price experienced a brief correction, dipping into the $70,000-zone. However, a subsequent rebound resulted in a 7.12% gain in the last 24 hours.

According to an analysis of key metrics, this asset could potentially reverse the 19% monthly losses, especially if the buying sentiment continues to build.

CME Gap and BTC’s Potential Surge

The CME gap, a liquidity point in the market formed due to the price difference between the market’s opening and closing, doesn’t trade on weekends or holidays. When a gap is formed, the price often trades back to that level.

Based on AMBCrypto’s assessment, BTC could be following its 2020 pattern. After the price reached a high above $12,000, it saw a sharp 22.43% decline to fill the CME gap below, before setting an all-time high far beyond that level.

Bitcoin recently followed a similar path, declining by 28.57% into a CME gap between 80,670 and 77,930. These gaps can act as demand and supply levels, in this case, a demand level.

Other Bullish Signs

There has been a surge in addresses holding BTC over time. Currently, the number of cruisers (addresses that have held for 1-12 months) and traders (less than a month) are declining, while holders (addresses holding for more than a year) are increasing. This indicates that long-term holders are surging, reducing supply in the market and avoiding impulsive trade movements.

The Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) revealed bullish sentiment among transactions that have occurred within the last 24 hours and between a day to one week.

Derivative traders in the market also share the same bullish sentiment, especially as Bitcoin’s Open Interest has subtly climbed by 2.80% to $50.91 billion in the last 24 hours. This bullish sentiment is confirmed by the long-to-short ratio, which measures buying volume (above 1) and selling volume (below 1) in the derivatives market, recording a reading of 1.0072.

If this ratio crosses further above this level, it would indicate that more buying activity is ongoing in the derivatives market, suggesting that BTC is likely to trade higher.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC)
Rank: 1
$ 107,284.74
Price (BTC)
Ƀ1.00000000
Marketcap
$ 2.13 T
Volume
$ 25.00 B
24h Change
0.01%
Total Supply
19.88 M BTC

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