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Could a Second Trump Victory Boost Bitcoin ETF Investments?

Exploring the Potential Impact of Election Results on the Future of Bitcoin ETFs

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
October 16, 2024
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant inflows amidst a wider market recovery, indicating investor optimism.
  • Political shifts, particularly a potential Republican win, are driving digital asset inflows as the party is perceived as pro-crypto.

Bitcoin ETFs have been gaining traction in the midst of a broader market recovery, attracting significant inflows. This trend is seen as a positive sign for the market.

Bitcoin ETF Update

Farside Investors reports that on October 15, Bitcoin ETFs had collective inflows of $371 million. The leaders were BlackRock’s IBIT with $288.8 million and Fidelity’s FBTC with $35 million. Other notable inflows included Ark 21Shares’ ARK ETF with $14.7 million and Grayscale’s GBTC with $13.4 million.

No ETFs reported outflows, indicating a growing interest in Bitcoin-based investment vehicles. In fact, Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest single-day net inflows since June, totaling $555.9 million.

This increase in investment coincided with Bitcoin trading at $67,823.08, following a 3.56% increase in 24 hours and a 9.44% gain over seven days. This has led to speculation that the cryptocurrency may be preparing for another all-time high.

Political Factors

A recent report by CoinShares links this trend to upcoming elections. The report states that a potential Republican win is driving growing investor interest in digital assets, as the GOP is expected to bring favorable regulatory changes to the industry.

The report states, “Digital asset investment products saw inflows of US$407m, as investor decisions have likely been more influenced by the upcoming US elections than by monetary policy outlooks.”

CoinShares supports this analysis by noting that recent inflows align more closely with political developments than economic indicators. Stronger-than-expected economic data had little effect on halting previous outflows.

According to CoinShares, this increase in inflows was followed by the recent U.S. Vice Presidential debate, after which polling momentum shifted toward Republicans, who are seen as more supportive of digital asset initiatives.

Nate Geraci, President of ETF Store, agrees with this perspective, stating that the results of the U.S. elections could significantly impact the future of the digital assets industry. He cites a recent poll conducted for Grayscale, which explored the relationship between cryptocurrency and the upcoming elections.

As the Republican candidate on Polymarket gains traction, the final stretch of the election promises to bring crucial developments for the sector.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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