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Boost Your Bitcoin: ETFs and Stablecoins Could Be the Spark

Unpacking the Potential Uptrend: Insights on the Correlation Between Stablecoin Market Cap and Bitcoin's Market Performance

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
January 31, 2025
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Key Points

  • USDT’s market cap rebounded to positive after a 2% contraction, while USDC saw a 20% surge.
  • Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. accumulated over 1,163,377 BTC, indicating strong investor confidence.

Despite experiencing a 2% contraction over a 30-day period, the market cap of Tether (USDT) rebounded to positive territory by the end of the month.

On the other hand, USD Coin (USDC) recorded a remarkable 20% upsurge, which is its fastest growth rate in a year.

Stablecoin Market Cap and Bitcoin

The relationship between the growth of the stablecoin market cap and Bitcoin price suggests that increased liquidity from stablecoins may be setting the stage for an uptrend in the market.

Historically, as the market cap of stablecoins expands, it often injects liquidity that precedes rallies in volatile assets like Bitcoin. This pattern has been observed in DAI and other stablecoins as well.

Bitcoin’s Margin Lending Ratio

As Bitcoin’s price dipped, traders borrowed more USDT, presumably to buy Bitcoin in anticipation of a rebound. However, instead of recovering, Bitcoin continued to decline, leaving these over-leveraged positions underwater.

This over-extension triggered a wave of deleveraging, causing traders to sell their Bitcoin to cover their positions, which further drove down the price. Interestingly, this sell-off and subsequent deleveraging set the stage for a reversal, leading to a stabilization and then an uptrend in Bitcoin’s value.

Bitcoin ETFs’ Demand

In addition to the liquidity provided by stablecoins, U.S Bitcoin ETFs also saw a rise, amassing a substantial 1,163,377 BTC—representing 5.87% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply.

This holding trend indicated growing investor confidence and a steady demand for BTC. Despite minor outflows, the aggregated Bitcoin amount in ETFs remains robustly above the monthly average. These outflows seemed to correlate with Bitcoin’s price spikes above $100,000, hinting at profit-taking events.

The trend of growth in ETF holdings pointed to healthy demand, which could be a catalyst for further price surges as more investors gain exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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