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Bitcoin’s Bullish Future: The Importance of $96k per BTC

Understanding the Crucial Role of $96k Support Level for Short-Term Bitcoin Holders

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 9, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s value has increased by 1.04% in the past day, remaining around the $96k mark.
  • The cryptocurrency’s future trajectory depends on whether it can maintain this value, as it signifies bullish market sentiment.

Bitcoin’s value has recently seen a 1.04% increase, holding steady at around $96k.

This is a crucial point for short-term holders (STHs), as noted by CryptoQuant analyst Shayan.

Significance of the $96k Mark

Shayan’s analysis reveals that the $96k mark is Bitcoin’s realized price for the 1-3 month cohort.

This level acts as a critical support point when Bitcoin’s value drops after an uptrend, suggesting that STHs are confident in their positions despite fluctuating prices.

Maintaining a value above this level is vital for reinforcing bullish market sentiment and increasing the likelihood of a prolonged upward trend.

However, if Bitcoin fails to hold this support and drops below the threshold, it could trigger a shift in market sentiment towards fear, potentially leading to a distribution phase.

Therefore, Bitcoin’s next move around this point will significantly influence its short to mid-term trajectory.

Bitcoin’s Future Performance

Despite the lack of upward momentum, investors remain optimistic, believing that Bitcoin has another upward trajectory ahead.

This optimism is reflected in the declining Bitcoin Fund Flow Ratio, indicating that fewer BTC transactions involve exchanges and suggesting that investors are holding onto their assets in anticipation of price increases.

This trend is particularly strong among large investors, or “whales”, as evidenced by the decreasing Exchange Whale Ratio.

Furthermore, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is still within the belief/denial zone, indicating that the cryptocurrency is still in a bullish phase.

With the NUPL at 58%, there is still potential for growth before reaching the market top.

In conclusion, although Bitcoin has struggled to maintain a value above $96k, there is still potential for growth. If it can surpass this level, it could potentially reach $98900 and face resistance at $100k. However, if it fails to maintain this level, Bitcoin’s value could drop to $94k, risking further decline.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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