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Bitcoin Rises to $98K as Coinbase Premium Index Bounces Back: What are the Revival Chances?

Assessment of Institutional Influence on Bitcoin's Potential Surge Amid Coinbase Index Surge

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
January 4, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin soared to nearly $99k following a rebound in U.S demand, as indicated by the Coinbase Premium Index.
  • Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S saw $908M in daily net inflows, marking a monthly high.

Bitcoin’s value surged close to $99k on Friday, 03 January, due to a rebound in demand from the U.S. This was signaled by the Coinbase Premium Index.

The index had earlier fallen to a 12-month low due to a risk-off approach by U.S retail and institutional investors during the holiday season.

Reclaiming the 14-day Simple Moving Average

The index also recently reclaimed the key 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the first time in nearly a month. According to CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci, this signifies a resurgence of U.S buyers in the market.

When the Coinbase Premium Index surges above SMA14, it signals Bitcoin buyer dominance. This event is an early indicator that U.S.-based buyers are regaining dominance in the market.

Bitcoin ETFs See High Inflows

This trend was also evident in the U.S Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs complex. They recorded $908M in daily net inflows on Friday, marking a monthly high. In fact, even BlackRock’s IBIT, which began the year with outflows, saw $253M in inflows on Friday.

Fidelity’s FBTC led the demand with $357M and Ark Invest’s ARKB came in third with $222M inflows. Collectively, this indicated that institutional demand was back and aided BTC’s steady push to $98.9k.

The extended recovery was driven by a liquidity hunt as a huge pile of short positions was located at the $98k-level earlier in the week. Now, the upside liquidity is located between $99k and $100k.

Lower liquidity levels seemed to be located at $97.2k, $96k, and $95k. Given that more liquidity seemed to be concentrated on the lower side of the price action at press time, a drop towards $97K-$95K can’t be overruled.

The liquidation heatmap suggested that BTC could enter a price range between $96k and $100k in the short term. However, it remains to be seen whether strong BTC ETF demand will trigger a bullish breakout above $100k.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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$ 103,278.67
Price (BTC)
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Total Supply
19.86 M BTC

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