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Bitcoin Forecast: Exploring Potential Growth Beyond $106k or Decline to $91k

BTC Battles $106K Barrier Amid Whale Activity and Funding Rate Fluctuations: A Potential Market Upturn or Downtrend?

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
January 30, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin struggles to break the $106K resistance, with whale exits indicating potential redistribution and investor caution.
  • Stabilized Funding Rates reflect market indecision as Bitcoin teeters between breakout and deeper correction levels.

Bitcoin was recently trading near $105,233, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $52.6 billion.

Despite a 2.58% price increase in the past day and a 2.80% rise in the past week, the cryptocurrency continues to struggle in breaking the $106,148.52 resistance.

Bitcoin’s Resistance and Support Levels

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that Bitcoin is rebounding into the light blue diagonal resistance of its triangular pattern within the $101K-$106K range.

A daily close above this diagonal resistance is crucial for Bitcoin to break out of the pattern and potentially revisit range highs.

The $101,165.33 support level remains a key area for buyers, with a breakdown potentially triggering further declines to lower targets like $91,070.40 or $87,325.43.

Whale Activity and Market Indecision

On-chain data reveals a decline in the number of large Bitcoin holders, with around seventy whale entities, each holding over 1,000 BTC, exiting the network or redistributing their holdings since mid-December.

This could suggest reduced confidence among large investors or a change in portfolio strategies.

Bitcoin’s Funding Rates, which measure the cost of leveraged long or short positions, have stabilized near 0.008%, reflecting indecision among traders.

Despite the current pause in Funding Rate volatility, Open Interest in Bitcoin futures has increased by 3.39% to $66.06 billion, while Options Volume was up 11.68% to $3.45 billion.

These figures suggest traders remain cautious, with no clear consensus on Bitcoin’s next move.

Bitcoin’s future now hinges on whether it can achieve a daily close above $106,148.52. A successful breakout could push the price toward $110,000, while failure could result in further consolidation or a pullback toward the $101K support.

As Bitcoin grapples with resistance, the redistribution of whale holdings and reduced leverage in Funding Rates indicate traders are closely monitoring these levels.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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$ 85,380.88
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19.85 M BTC

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