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Bitcoin Declines 10% Amidst Seller Scare: Could this Spark a Rally?

Examining the Potential of BTC's Repeat Performance: A Historic Rally Possibly Triggered by a 10% Drop and Panic Selling

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 27, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin (BTC) may be poised for a market rally following a period of panic selling.
  • Short-term holders and increased buying activity are key factors in the potential rebound.

Bitcoin, or BTC, has seen a significant decrease in value over the past week, with a 10.77% loss marking its largest decline in the past month.

In the last 24 hours, this trend has continued, with a 2.38% drop. This is the first major market capitulation since August 2024.

Historical Data and Short-Term Holders

Despite recent losses, historical data suggests a rebound could be imminent. This is largely dependent on the actions of short-term holders (STH) and the resumption of buying activity.

The STH-SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) and Bollinger Bands, which identify overbought and oversold regions, provide key insights into potential price action. Historically, when the STH-SOPR drops below the lower Bollinger Band, BTC typically sees a strong rally.

BTC has just experienced its largest market capitulation of 2025, largely due to new investors. This resulted in 79,000 BTC being sold in the spot market, along with $1.7 billion in liquidated derivative contracts.

Signs of a Potential Rally

Despite this, there are signs that a rally could be on the horizon. After the last major capitulation in August, Bitcoin’s price began to steadily rise. If history repeats itself, we could see a similar trend in the coming weeks.

Furthermore, there are indications of growing bullish sentiment in the market. In the past four hours, there has been a significant increase in short liquidations, suggesting strong buying activity.

The funding rate data, another key market indicator, also supports this trend. If buying activity continues to increase, BTC could see a strong price surge in the near future.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC)
Rank: 1
$ 117,705.54
Price (BTC)
Ƀ1.00000000
Marketcap
$ 2.34 T
Volume
$ 70.33 B
24h Change
5.75%
Total Supply
19.89 M BTC

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