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Why Experts Believe Bitcoin’s FOMO Phase Is Yet to Begin

Early Optimism in Bitcoin Market Yet to Trigger Widespread 'Fear of Missing Out', Despite Mixed Signals from Open Interest Metrics

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
March 6, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s price has shown signs of recovery, surpassing the $90,000 mark.
  • Despite the price increase, market sentiment remains cautious, with no signs of widespread FOMO.

Bitcoin has demonstrated a promising recovery, with its price currently maintaining above $91,000. This comes after a significant drop in previous weeks. On March 5, the leading cryptocurrency managed to reclaim the psychological price level of $90,000, experiencing a nearly 10% surge within a single day.

By the early hours of March 6, the price of Bitcoin reached a peak of $92,756. However, a minor retracement occurred shortly after this peak.

Market Sentiment and FOMO

Despite the recent gains, market analysts suggest that a widespread fear of missing out (FOMO) has not yet set in. According to Woominkyu, a CryptoQuant analyst, the current market sentiment does not mirror the excitement typically seen before a major price rally.

Woominkyu referenced the ‘Fear & Greed Index’ to explain the prevailing market mood. This index uses a 30-day Moving Average to track market sentiment. Historically, when Bitcoin enters the ‘Optimism’ stage of this index, it often signals a potential rally. However, the ‘Euphoria’ stage, marked by excessive market optimism, usually precedes sharp price corrections.

Open Interest Indicators

In addition to sentiment indicators, other metrics provide insight into Bitcoin’s current market position. Data from Coinglass revealed a 6.5% increase in Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI), which represents the total value of active derivative contracts. This increase, now at $51.38 billion, suggests an influx of traders entering the market, likely in anticipation of upcoming price fluctuations.

Interestingly, OI volume has shown a contrasting trend, declining by 7.36% to 106.79 billion during the same period. This decline indicates a potential shift in trading activity, with fewer contracts being actively traded despite the overall rising valuation. This disparity between OI value and volume highlights the intricate dynamics currently shaping the Bitcoin market.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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