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Unprecedented $55.7b Bitcoin Open Interest: Anticipated impacts and Projections

Unprecedented Surge in Trading Points to Potential Market Developments Amid Recent Price Peaks

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
November 14, 2024
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s open interest in futures markets recently hit a record $55.7 billion amid a market upsurge.
  • Bitcoin faces resistance around the $91,265 level and could potentially slow down if it fails to break through.

Bitcoin’s futures market open interest recently achieved a record high, thanks to a significant market surge that has led to new price peaks. The open interest (OI) for Bitcoin (BTC) has soared to $55.7 billion, reflecting a considerable increase in trading activity and investor interest. This surge follows a previous drop to $26.65 billion on August 6.

Leading Contributors to OI

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) contributes the most to this figure, holding about 32.3% of the total Bitcoin futures OI with 197,620 BTC, valued at $18 billion. Binance, the crypto exchange with the highest trading volume, comes next, accounting for 19.47% of the total OI, with an open interest of over 119,000 BTC worth approximately $10.86 billion. Bybit, Bitget, and OKX are also significant contributors.

The recent OI recovery coincides with a bullish price rally that started around the U.S. presidential election on November 5. As the market responded to the election results, Bitcoin’s price soared, setting new records. The cryptocurrency briefly hit a new all-time high of $93,480 before slightly retreating. Bitcoin has seen a 4% increase over the last 24 hours and is currently trading at $91,108.

Bitcoin’s Resistance Level

Bitcoin is currently facing resistance around the $91,265 level, near its upper Bollinger Band. To continue its upward trend, it will need to overcome this barrier. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) recently hit a peak of 247, suggesting that Bitcoin is in overbought territory. Although the CCI has since retracted to 163.35, there seems to be a divergence between this indicator and Bitcoin’s price.

Interestingly, Bitcoin has continued to reach new heights over the past three days, but its CCI has dropped within this period. This divergence between the CCI drop and Bitcoin’s new highs could signal a potential slowdown. If Bitcoin fails to break through the current resistance, a pullback might be imminent. In that case, the nearest support is at $88,000, with further stability around $87,113 and $83,258 if the decline continues.

However, the high OI might suggest that investors remain optimistic, and a successful breach of the $91,265 resistance could lead Bitcoin to retest its recent all-time high above $93,000.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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$ 96,221.78
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19.86 M BTC

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