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Resisting Cash Out as Bitcoin Soars to $100K: The Wise HODLing Strategy

$96K Bottom Sparks Investor Greed and Profit-Taker Caution: The Power of HODLing Amidst Bitcoin's Landmark Surge

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
December 6, 2024
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s investor greed has slowed, indicating a lack of risk-taking among investors.
  • A potential price dip could incentivize Bitcoin holders to hold onto their investments.

Bitcoin’s Investor Sentiment Slows Down

Bitcoin’s investor sentiment has shown a noticeable decrease in risk-taking. Despite hitting the $100K milestone, the cryptocurrency saw a more than 5% drop later in the day. This kind of dip usually attracts bargain hunters, but the current lack of investor greed suggests a decrease in enthusiasm for holding.

This bull run has already led to the creation of numerous millionaires and billionaires. Now, the focus has shifted to those betting on Bitcoin’s next peak as a long-term investment. The balance between profit-takers and risk-takers will be crucial in determining the future of Bitcoin.

Impact of the Lack of Risk Appetite on Bitcoin

The lack of risk appetite is currently holding Bitcoin back. On the 1-day timeframe, Bitcoin’s price chart shows mixed signals, including a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI in neutral territory, despite Bitcoin reaching $100K. There is still room for growth, but it depends on whether investors are ready to embrace the volatility for the chance of multiplied gains.

The greed index has remained under 90 this time, indicating a lack of risk-taking. This is pushing Bitcoin back into the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) zone. This could create strong resistance among both new and seasoned investors, with many likely opting to cash out for immediate gains rather than holding for the long term.

As a result, the $100K milestone didn’t even last a day, with profit-takers dominating the exchange flows. Both short-term and long-term holders cashed in on gains from previous dips, while risk-takers failed to step in and neutralize the selling pressure.

If this trend continues each time Bitcoin hits $100K, it could create an endless loop, where the lack of greed gives profit-takers a better chance to escape the market before prices can truly sustain higher levels.

Bitcoin’s Potential Rebound

Following the new ATH of $103,629, Bitcoin’s price closed at $92,285. This created another dip-buying opportunity, particularly for short-term traders looking to capitalize on a potential rebound. As a result, Bitcoin volume rose by 5%, reaching around $124 billion.

Whales have also taken advantage of the situation, scooping up 600 Bitcoins at a bargain price of $98,083. These factors suggest a potential bottom formation around $96K, where both investor and trader interest could converge, setting the stage for an even greater bounce back.

This is positive news for bulls. A confirmed $96K bottom, with new capital entering the market, would push Bitcoin just 4% into realized profits by the time it hits $100K. This modest gain may not trigger a significant sell-off, as it’s unlikely to break even for many investors, encouraging them to hold onto their Bitcoins.

The next key price range to watch is $96K – $98K, where notable activity is anticipated. Increased greed in this range could fuel further momentum. This might be the optimal time to buy for a potential $103K breakthrough. However, monitoring the liquidity within this price band will be crucial in the coming days.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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