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Persisting in a Dip: Miners Stay Loyal Despite Bitcoin’s 4-Month Low

Exploring the Unexpected Optimism In the Face of a Sharp Bitcoin Price Drop: The Resilience of Bitcoin Miners

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 28, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin miners continue to hold onto their mined BTC despite the cryptocurrency’s recent decline.
  • The Miner Position Index suggests that miners are not aggressively selling and their outflows are lower than historical averages.

Despite a 7.58% drop in value over a single day, Bitcoin miners are not rushing to sell their holdings.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at a 4-month low of $79,526, indicating a significant decrease in its daily charts.

Miners Holding Back

Despite the downward pressure and active sellers in the market, Bitcoin miners appear indifferent to the prevailing trend.

Data from CryptoQuant suggests that miners are holding onto their Bitcoin reserves, with no significant change in their holdings since December 2024.

During previous Bitcoin price spikes, miners would sell to maximize profits and cover operational costs.

However, since December, Bitcoin mining withdrawal transactions have significantly decreased.

Indicators of Miner Behavior

This trend is supported by the Miner Position Index (MPI), which has dropped from 2.2 to -0.027.

A negative MPI suggests that miners are not aggressively selling and their outflows are lower than historical averages.

The Miner-to-Exchange Flow (total) has also declined over the past four days, from 21k to 3.3k BTC.

This drop coincides with a period of significant losses for Bitcoin, suggesting that miners are strategically offloading for operational needs rather than selling.

The Puell multiple, another indicator of miner behavior, remains above 0.5 but below 2, currently sitting at 1.1.

This suggests a healthy market without extreme miner behavior, and that the selling activity from the mining pool remains moderate.

The Impact on Bitcoin

While the lack of selling does not necessarily indicate a bullish stance from miners, it does suggest that Bitcoin prices have dropped to levels where selling is not sustainable.

Consequently, miners are holding onto their Bitcoins out of necessity.

This reduced selling pressure from miners could potentially benefit Bitcoin, as it would reduce pressure on prices and allow for recovery.

However, with Bitcoin still in a downtrend, further losses may occur before this behavior has a positive impact on prices.

For a recovery to occur, Bitcoin must first reclaim the $86,000 mark.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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