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Is Bitcoin’s Rising MVRV Score Putting Short-Term Holders in Jeopardy?

A Closer Look at Profitability Amid Potential Downturn: How Bitcoin's MVRV Ratios Could Impact Short-Term Holders

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 11, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV score dropped to 1.05, indicating a potential decrease in buying enthusiasm.
  • A liquidity cluster below $94K could trigger a drop in Bitcoin’s price to $92K, a critical level for STHs.

The MVRV score for Bitcoin (BTC) held by short-term investors recently fell to 1.05. This figure suggests that investors are barely making profits.

The decline in the MVRV score could indicate a decrease in buying interest among short-term holders. However, as the score remains above 1, the selling pressure might not be too severe, potentially preventing a further fall.

Significance of the $92,000 Support Level

The cost basis of approximately $92,000 for short-term holders serves as a crucial market support level. If Bitcoin stays above this level, it could imply continued confidence among short-term investors, supporting stable prices or a potential uptrend.

However, if the MVRV score drops below 1, it could mean most short-term holders are incurring losses. This could result in increased selling pressure as investors seek to minimize their losses, putting the $92,000 support level at risk.

Bitcoin’s Interaction with Liquidity Zones

Bitcoin has shown a consistent pattern of interacting with liquidity zones. Despite maintaining levels just above the long clusters, it often dips to sweep liquidity at $95,000. The repeated testing of these liquidity pools suggests a bearish undertone as the price fails to sustain higher levels.

If this pattern continues, the $92K level could play a crucial role. Breaking below this level might lead to a shift in market sentiment, potentially causing short-term holders to capitulate and exert downward pressure on the price.

On the other hand, successfully defending this level could boost confidence, possibly stabilizing or increasing prices as accumulation occurs at these lower levels.

Despite significant purchases by MicroStrategy and BlackRock, Bitcoin’s price declined. The movement of 14,000 dormant Bitcoins might have signaled a potential increase in supply, causing uncertainty and a price drop.

If these Bitcoins are viewed as long-term holds rather than immediate sell-offs, it might suggest less selling pressure. This could potentially stabilize or boost the price. Future price movements depend on whether these Bitcoins remain off exchanges, which could indicate a bullish outlook if viewed as a store of value.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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