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Bitcoin Forecast: Short-Term Rally on the Horizon?

Positive Net Taker Volume and Falling Liquidations: Key Indicators Bolster the Possibility of Bitcoin's Short-Term Rally

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 12, 2025
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin’s cumulative net taker volume has turned positive, indicating a potential short-term rally.
  • Reduction in BTC/USDT liquidation events signifies a stabilizing market and growing buyer confidence.

Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential short-term rally as the cumulative net taker volume has turned positive for the first time since early February.

This shift from a deeply negative net taker volume, where sell orders predominated, to a positive $189 million suggests a change in market dynamics that could boost Bitcoin’s price.

Growing Buyer Confidence

The net taker volume, which measures the difference between buy and sell orders, recently turned positive, standing at approximately $189 million.

This shift from a negative trend, where sell orders significantly outweighed buy orders, indicates a growing bullish sentiment among traders.

If this metric continues to rise, it could reinforce buying pressure, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards or beyond the $100,000 threshold.

Market Stabilization

Analysis of BTC/USDT liquidation revealed a significant reduction in liquidation events as the price stabilized and started to recover.

This decrease in liquidations, especially at higher leverage levels, suggests that the market might be stabilizing, reducing the immediate downward pressure from forced selling due to margin calls.

The MVRV Z-Score chart for Bitcoin provides insight into whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its ‘fair value’.

As the score approaches the middle ground, it suggests that Bitcoin might be nearing a point of fair market value, which historically has been a launchpad for price increases.

The BTC OI-Weighted Funding Rate analysis showed that Funding Rates have been relatively stable and positive, hovering around 0.02% to 0.04%.

Positive Funding Rates in Futures markets indicate that long positions were paying short positions, typically a reflection of a bullish market sentiment, where traders are willing to pay to maintain their long positions.

Finally, the alignment of these metrics supports the potential for a short-term rally in Bitcoin price.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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