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Bitcoin ETF Holdings Surpass Satoshi’s Cache: A Troubling Signal or Not?

Exploring the Implications as Bitcoin ETFs Reach a New Milestone, Overtaking Nakamoto's Bitcoin Holdings

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
December 7, 2024
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Key Points

  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S now hold more Bitcoin than Satoshi Nakamoto’s holdings, indicating strong institutional demand.
  • Despite concerns of centralization, the ETFs’ Bitcoin holdings are spread across multiple companies, suggesting concentration rather than centralization.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have played a crucial role in driving demand for Bitcoin this year.

Their accumulation levels have reached new highs over the past few months, recently surpassing the Bitcoin holdings of Satoshi Nakamoto.

Record-breaking Bitcoin Holdings

As of December 6, Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S reportedly held 1.104 million coins, slightly more than the 1.1 million coins held by Bitcoin’s Satoshi Nakamoto.

This indicates that U.S institutions now control the largest share of Bitcoin in circulation.

This development has been seen as a sign of strong institutional demand in the market.

However, it has also drawn criticism, with some viewing it as a sign of centralization.

Centralization or Concentration

Concerns about centralization in the crypto market arise from control issues.

If a large portion of Bitcoin is controlled by centralized entities, it could potentially lead to a 51% attack.

However, current institutional holdings only account for about 5.5% of the total circulating supply.

Moreover, these holdings are distributed among several companies that operate Bitcoin ETFs.

Therefore, the situation may be more about concentration than centralization.

Bitcoin’s Institutional Appeal

The fact that ETFs now hold the majority of Bitcoin holdings shows the asset’s appeal to institutions.

Spot cumulative flows of Bitcoin reveal the extent of ETFs’ demand for the asset in 2024.

From early August to December, spot cumulative flows doubled, reflecting the aggressive demand driven by various factors.

This demand could potentially double again due to the upcoming pro-crypto administration in the U.S and declining interest rates.

The strong institutional demand in the first year of ETF approvals indicates a positive sentiment towards the asset.

This could pave the way for increased demand in the future.

This robust demand may also inspire other countries to approve their own ETFs.

Countries such as Japan, China, Russia, and South Korea have shown interest in Bitcoin.

This marks a significant shift in perception, as many governments were previously against Bitcoin.

Therefore, Bitcoin’s adoption trend could potentially grow exponentially in the future.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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