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Bitcoin Analyst Predicts Potential 2022 Panic Selling – Is It Here Yet?

Analyst Predicts Short-Term Bitcoin Losses Amidst Shift in Bearish Sentiment

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
February 25, 2025
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Key Points

  • The crypto fear and greed index dropped by 24 points, indicating extreme fear.
  • Despite losses, Bitcoin investors remain cautious and selective, implying a healthier market.

The crypto fear and greed index saw a significant drop of 24 points in a single day.

This indicates a state of extreme fear in the market.

Bitcoin Market Trends

On February 24th, Bitcoin [BTC] saw a decline of 4.89%, and the overall crypto market capitalization decreased by 6.65% within 24 hours.

Outflows from Bitcoin ETF and losses for the S&P 500, which fell 1.19% from the day’s high to the day’s lows, might explain this swift shift in sentiment.

Investor Behaviour

Crypto analyst Axel Adler used the Realized Profit and Loss metric to demonstrate that total realized losses remain moderate.

Adler pointed out that the realized losses in the past quarter were significantly less than the panic selling witnessed in late 2022.

This suggests a healthier market with sustained demand and relatively positive sentiment.

Investors are not hastily exiting at any price, and those who are selling are more selective.

Despite the bearish sentiment online, the long-term price trend continues to be upward.

Large drawdowns are typical in a bull run.

Adler concluded that the realized BTC losses indicate that the overall uptrend may not be impacted.

The Realized Cap UTXO Age Bands metric, which shows the distribution of the realized market cap by age bands, reveals an increase in the realized cap share of 1-month to 6-month UTXOs.

This usually marks periods when prices continue to fall.

However, older age bands have remained flat since January, indicating faith from longer-term holders.

This suggests that while short-term volatility and increased losses appear likely, especially as the price tries to break below the $92k support zone, longer-term holders have no reason to panic yet.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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