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Bearish Influence Halts Bitcoin’s Journey to $100K: Unraveling BTC’s Seemingly Endless Loop

Bear Market Exploits Bitcoin's Volatility, Triggering Long Squeezes and Holding Back BTC's Quest for $100K

Mark Valerius by Mark Valerius
November 25, 2024
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Key Points

  • Bitcoin investors are still waiting for the cryptocurrency to hit the $100K mark, despite an 81% probability prediction.
  • Market volatility and bearish strategies are causing significant liquidations, indicating a possible larger market shift.

Bitcoin [BTC] investors have been on a wild ride, with expectations high for the cryptocurrency to reach the historic $100K milestone. Despite predictions giving an 81% chance of BTC reaching this goal, the weekend came and went without the breakthrough, keeping the market in suspense.

The drama intensified over the last 24 hours. An astonishing 160,527 traders were liquidated, leading to $376.22 million in losses, as fluctuating price movements disrupted both long and short positions.

Market Volatility and Bearish Strategies

This increase in liquidations underscores the extreme volatility impacting the derivative market. Could this be a forewarning of a bigger market shift looming?

Current long/short ratios indicate a bearish lean, with traders heavily shorting Bitcoin. This imbalance carries a caution: excessive leverage in the derivatives market could trigger sudden corrections or even a long squeeze – a potential catalyst that may be influencing Bitcoin’s recent reversal.

In the last 24 hours, over $234 million in long positions were liquidated – a significant 65.96% increase compared to $141 million in short liquidations.

This considerable disparity highlights the volatility at play as “longs” (bets on price increases) were compelled to close positions following Bitcoin’s drop from its all-time high of $99,317 just two days prior.

Whale Activities and Market Impact

Interestingly, in the past two days, whales have deposited roughly 10K Bitcoins at a price of $98,121, amounting to a significant total of around $981 million.

This move supports previous analysis, emphasizing how bears capitalized on the significant shift as whales offloaded their holdings. The maneuver triggered a price dip, which allowed short-sellers to take control. This forced long positions to liquidate in an effort to minimize risk.

Therefore, while anticipation for the $100K milestone is mounting, the journey won’t be simple. Each time Bitcoin approaches that price target, a wave of departures – from large HODLers, swing traders, or miners – creates the ideal environment for bears to take charge. This cycle traps Bitcoin in a continuous loop, hindering a smooth ascent to its historic milestone.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC)

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Bitcoin (BTC)
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