Just my gut feeling based on following the trial reportage at firedoglake. I’ve been stuck in the media room so haven’t been able to observe the jury, but those who have say that so far there haven’t been any signs of a deadlock–they’re in good spirits and are getting along with each other. Two of their questions to the judge have been concerning the weaker charge (regarding the Cooper conversation), so that may mean that they’ve already agreed on a verdict regarding the Russert conversation charges. They also just asked the judge to clarify the “reasonable doubt” instruction. Specifically, they wanted to know if the only way they can convict is if the prosecution “proves” that it was “not possible” for Libby to have forgotten. If they think about it a little more, they should realize that it’s impossible to prove that it’s impossible for someone to forget something. If that were the standard, no one would ever be convicted of lying.

We’ll see.